@article {3576, title = {Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.}, journal = {Lancet}, volume = {384}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Sep 13}, pages = {1005-70}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The Millennium Declaration in 2000 brought special global attention to HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria through the formulation of Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 6. The Global Burden of Disease 2013 study provides a consistent and comprehensive approach to disease estimation for between 1990 and 2013, and an opportunity to assess whether accelerated progress has occured since the Millennium Declaration.

METHODS: To estimate incidence and mortality for HIV, we used the UNAIDS Spectrum model appropriately modified based on a systematic review of available studies of mortality with and without antiretroviral therapy (ART). For concentrated epidemics, we calibrated Spectrum models to fit vital registration data corrected for misclassification of HIV deaths. In generalised epidemics, we minimised a loss function to select epidemic curves most consistent with prevalence data and demographic data for all-cause mortality. We analysed counterfactual scenarios for HIV to assess years of life saved through prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and ART. For tuberculosis, we analysed vital registration and verbal autopsy data to estimate mortality using cause of death ensemble modelling. We analysed data for corrected case-notifications, expert opinions on the case-detection rate, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality using Bayesian meta-regression to generate consistent trends in all parameters. We analysed malaria mortality and incidence using an updated cause of death database, a systematic analysis of verbal autopsy validation studies for malaria, and recent studies (2010-13) of incidence, drug resistance, and coverage of insecticide-treated bednets.

FINDINGS: Globally in 2013, there were 1{\textperiodcentered}8 million new HIV infections (95\% uncertainty interval 1{\textperiodcentered}7 million to 2{\textperiodcentered}1 million), 29{\textperiodcentered}2 million prevalent HIV cases (28{\textperiodcentered}1 to 31{\textperiodcentered}7), and 1{\textperiodcentered}3 million HIV deaths (1{\textperiodcentered}3 to 1{\textperiodcentered}5). At the peak of the epidemic in 2005, HIV caused 1{\textperiodcentered}7 million deaths (1{\textperiodcentered}6 million to 1{\textperiodcentered}9 million). Concentrated epidemics in Latin America and eastern Europe are substantially smaller than previously estimated. Through interventions including PMTCT and ART, 19{\textperiodcentered}1 million life-years (16{\textperiodcentered}6 million to 21{\textperiodcentered}5 million) have been saved, 70{\textperiodcentered}3\% (65{\textperiodcentered}4 to 76{\textperiodcentered}1) in developing countries. From 2000 to 2011, the ratio of development assistance for health for HIV to years of life saved through intervention was US$4498 in developing countries. Including in HIV-positive individuals, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7{\textperiodcentered}5 million (7{\textperiodcentered}4 million to 7{\textperiodcentered}7 million), prevalence was 11{\textperiodcentered}9 million (11{\textperiodcentered}6 million to 12{\textperiodcentered}2 million), and number of deaths was 1{\textperiodcentered}4 million (1{\textperiodcentered}3 million to 1{\textperiodcentered}5 million) in 2013. In the same year and in only individuals who were HIV-negative, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7{\textperiodcentered}1 million (6{\textperiodcentered}9 million to 7{\textperiodcentered}3 million), prevalence was 11{\textperiodcentered}2 million (10{\textperiodcentered}8 million to 11{\textperiodcentered}6 million), and number of deaths was 1{\textperiodcentered}3 million (1{\textperiodcentered}2 million to 1{\textperiodcentered}4 million). Annualised rates of change (ARC) for incidence, prevalence, and death became negative after 2000. Tuberculosis in HIV-negative individuals disproportionately occurs in men and boys (versus women and girls); 64{\textperiodcentered}0\% of cases (63{\textperiodcentered}6 to 64{\textperiodcentered}3) and 64{\textperiodcentered}7\% of deaths (60{\textperiodcentered}8 to 70{\textperiodcentered}3). Globally, malaria cases and deaths grew rapidly from 1990 reaching a peak of 232 million cases (143 million to 387 million) in 2003 and 1{\textperiodcentered}2 million deaths (1{\textperiodcentered}1 million to 1{\textperiodcentered}4 million) in 2004. Since 2004, child deaths from malaria in sub-Saharan Africa have decreased by 31{\textperiodcentered}5\% (15{\textperiodcentered}7 to 44{\textperiodcentered}1). Outside of Africa, malaria mortality has been steadily decreasing since 1990.

INTERPRETATION: Our estimates of the number of people living with HIV are 18{\textperiodcentered}7\% smaller than UNAIDS{\textquoteright}s estimates in 2012. The number of people living with malaria is larger than estimated by WHO. The number of people living with HIV, tuberculosis, or malaria have all decreased since 2000. At the global level, upward trends for malaria and HIV deaths have been reversed and declines in tuberculosis deaths have accelerated. 101 countries (74 of which are developing) still have increasing HIV incidence. Substantial progress since the Millennium Declaration is an encouraging sign of the effect of global action.

FUNDING: Bill \& Melinda Gates Foundation.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Epidemics, Female, Global Health, HIV Infections, Humans, Incidence, Malaria, Male, Mortality, Organizational Objectives, Sex Distribution, Tuberculosis}, issn = {1474-547X}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60844-8}, author = {Murray, Christopher J L and Ortblad, Katrina F and Guinovart, Caterina and Lim, Stephen S and Wolock, Timothy M and Roberts, D Allen and Dansereau, Emily A and Graetz, Nicholas and Barber, Ryan M and Brown, Jonathan C and Wang, Haidong and Duber, Herbert C and Naghavi, Mohsen and Dicker, Daniel and Dandona, Lalit and Salomon, Joshua A and Heuton, Kyle R and Foreman, Kyle and Phillips, David E and Fleming, Thomas D and Flaxman, Abraham D and Phillips, Bryan K and Johnson, Elizabeth K and Coggeshall, Megan S and Abd-Allah, Foad and Abera, Semaw Ferede and Abraham, Jerry P and Abubakar, Ibrahim and Abu-Raddad, Laith J and Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Me and Achoki, Tom and Adeyemo, Austine Olufemi and Adou, Ars{\`e}ne Kouablan and Adsuar, Jos{\'e} C and Agardh, Emilie Elisabet and Akena, Dickens and Al Kahbouri, Mazin J and Alasfoor, Deena and Albittar, Mohammed I and Alcal{\'a}-Cerra, Gabriel and Alegretti, Miguel Angel and Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw and Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael and Alhabib, Samia and Ali, Raghib and Alla, Fran{\c c}ois and Allen, Peter J and Alsharif, Ubai and Alvarez, Elena and Alvis-Guzm{\'a}n, Nelson and Amankwaa, Adansi A and Amare, Azmeraw T and Amini, Hassan and Ammar, Walid and Anderson, Benjamin O and Antonio, Carl Abelardo T and Anwari, Palwasha and Arnl{\"o}v, Johan and Arsenijevic, Valentina S Arsic and Artaman, Ali and Asghar, Rana J and Assadi, Reza and Atkins, Lydia S and Badawi, Alaa and Balakrishnan, Kalpana and Banerjee, Amitava and Basu, Sanjay and Beardsley, Justin and Bekele, Tolesa and Bell, Michelle L and Bernabe, Eduardo and Beyene, Tariku Jibat and Bhala, Neeraj and Bhalla, Ashish and Bhutta, Zulfiqar A and Abdulhak, Aref Bin and Binagwaho, Agnes and Blore, Jed D and Basara, Berrak Bora and Bose, Dipan and Brainin, Michael and Breitborde, Nicholas and Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela, Carlos A and Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez, Ferr{\'a}n and Chadha, Vineet K and Chang, Jung-Chen and Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia and Chuang, Ting-Wu and Colomar, Mercedes and Cooper, Leslie Trumbull and Cooper, Cyrus and Courville, Karen J and Cowie, Benjamin C and Criqui, Michael H and Dandona, Rakhi and Dayama, Anand and De Leo, Diego and Degenhardt, Louisa and del Pozo-Cruz, Borja and Deribe, Kebede and Des Jarlais, Don C and Dessalegn, Muluken and Dharmaratne, Samath D and Dilmen, U{\u g}ur and Ding, Eric L and Driscoll, Tim R and Durrani, Adnan M and Ellenbogen, Richard G and Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich and Esteghamati, Alireza and Faraon, Emerito Jose A and Farzadfar, Farshad and Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad and Fijabi, Daniel Obadare and Forouzanfar, Mohammad H and Fra Paleo, Urbano and Gaffikin, Lynne and Gamkrelidze, Amiran and Gankp{\'e}, Fortun{\'e} Gb{\`e}toho and Geleijnse, Johanna M and Gessner, Bradford D and Gibney, Katherine B and Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed and Glaser, Elizabeth L and Gona, Philimon and Goto, Atsushi and Gouda, Hebe N and Gugnani, Harish Chander and Gupta, Rajeev and Gupta, Rahul and Hafezi-Nejad, Nima and Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi and Hammami, Mouhanad and Hankey, Graeme J and Harb, Hilda L and Haro, Josep Maria and Havmoeller, Rasmus and Hay, Simon I and Hedayati, Mohammad T and Pi, Ileana B Heredia and Hoek, Hans W and Hornberger, John C and Hosgood, H Dean and Hotez, Peter J and Hoy, Damian G and Huang, John J and Iburg, Kim M and Idrisov, Bulat T and Innos, Kaire and Jacobsen, Kathryn H and Jeemon, Panniyammakal and Jensen, Paul N and Jha, Vivekanand and Jiang, Guohong and Jonas, Jost B and Juel, Knud and Kan, Haidong and Kankindi, Ida and Karam, Nadim E and Karch, Andr{\'e} and Karema, Corine Kakizi and Kaul, Anil and Kawakami, Norito and Kazi, Dhruv S and Kemp, Andrew H and Kengne, Andre Pascal and Keren, Andre and Kereselidze, Maia and Khader, Yousef Saleh and Khalifa, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan and Khan, Ejaz Ahmed and Khang, Young-Ho and Khonelidze, Irma and Kinfu, Yohannes and Kinge, Jonas M and Knibbs, Luke and Kokubo, Yoshihiro and Kosen, S and Defo, Barthelemy Kuate and Kulkarni, Veena S and Kulkarni, Chanda and Kumar, Kaushalendra and Kumar, Ravi B and Kumar, G Anil and Kwan, Gene F and Lai, Taavi and Balaji, Arjun Lakshmana and Lam, Hilton and Lan, Qing and Lansingh, Van C and Larson, Heidi J and Larsson, Anders and Lee, Jong-Tae and Leigh, James and Leinsalu, Mall and Leung, Ricky and Li, Yichong and Li, Yongmei and de Lima, Gra{\c c}a Maria Ferreira and Lin, Hsien-Ho and Lipshultz, Steven E and Liu, Shiwei and Liu, Yang and Lloyd, Belinda K and Lotufo, Paulo A and Machado, Vasco Manuel Pedro and Maclachlan, Jennifer H and Magis-Rodriguez, Carlos and Majdan, Marek and Mapoma, Christopher Chabila and Marcenes, Wagner and Marzan, Melvin Barrientos and Masci, Joseph R and Mashal, Mohammad Taufiq and Mason-Jones, Amanda J and Mayosi, Bongani M and Mazorodze, Tasara T and Mckay, Abigail Cecilia and Meaney, Peter A and Mehndiratta, Man Mohan and Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola and Melaku, Yohannes Adama and Memish, Ziad A and Mendoza, Walter and Miller, Ted R and Mills, Edward J and Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin and Mokdad, Ali H and Mola, Glen Liddell and Monasta, Lorenzo and Montico, Marcella and Moore, Ami R and Mori, Rintaro and Moturi, Wilkister Nyaora and Mukaigawara, Mitsuru and Murthy, Kinnari S and Naheed, Aliya and Naidoo, Kovin S and Naldi, Luigi and Nangia, Vinay and Narayan, K M Venkat and Nash, Denis and Nejjari, Chakib and Nelson, Robert G and Neupane, Sudan Prasad and Newton, Charles R and Ng, Marie and Nisar, Muhammad Imran and Nolte, Sandra and Norheim, Ole F and Nowaseb, Vincent and Nyakarahuka, Luke and Oh, In-Hwan and Ohkubo, Takayoshi and Olusanya, Bolajoko O and Omer, Saad B and Opio, John Nelson and Orisakwe, Orish Ebere and Pandian, Jeyaraj D and Papachristou, Christina and Caicedo, Angel J Paternina and Patten, Scott B and Paul, Vinod K and Pavlin, Boris Igor and Pearce, Neil and Pereira, David M and Pervaiz, Aslam and Pesudovs, Konrad and Petzold, Max and Pourmalek, Farshad and Qato, Dima and Quezada, Amado D and Quistberg, D Alex and Rafay, Anwar and Rahimi, Kazem and Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa and ur Rahman, Sajjad and Raju, Murugesan and Rana, Saleem M and Razavi, Homie and Reilly, Robert Quentin and Remuzzi, Giuseppe and Richardus, Jan Hendrik and Ronfani, Luca and Roy, Nobhojit and Sabin, Nsanzimana and Saeedi, Mohammad Yahya and Sahraian, Mohammad Ali and Samonte, Genesis May J and Sawhney, Monika and Schneider, Ione J C and Schwebel, David C and Seedat, Soraya and Sepanlou, Sadaf G and Servan-Mori, Edson E and Sheikhbahaei, Sara and Shibuya, Kenji and Shin, Hwashin Hyun and Shiue, Ivy and Shivakoti, Rupak and Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora and Silberberg, Donald H and Silva, Andrea P and Simard, Edgar P and Singh, Jasvinder A and Skirbekk, Vegard and Sliwa, Karen and Soneji, Samir and Soshnikov, Sergey S and Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T and Stathopoulou, Vasiliki Kalliopi and Stroumpoulis, Konstantinos and Swaminathan, Soumya and Sykes, Bryan L and Tabb, Karen M and Talongwa, Roberto Tchio and Tenkorang, Eric Yeboah and Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman and Thomson, Alan J and Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L and Towbin, Jeffrey A and Traebert, Jefferson and Tran, Bach X and Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala and Tsilimbaris, Miltiadis and Uchendu, Uche S and Ukwaja, Kingsley N and Uzun, Selen Beg{\"u}m and Vallely, Andrew J and Vasankari, Tommi J and Venketasubramanian, N and Violante, Francesco S and Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich and Vollset, Stein Emil and Waller, Stephen and Wallin, Mitchell T and Wang, Linhong and Wang, XiaoRong and Wang, Yanping and Weichenthal, Scott and Weiderpass, Elisabete and Weintraub, Robert G and Westerman, Ronny and White, Richard A and Wilkinson, James D and Williams, Thomas Neil and Woldeyohannes, Solomon Meseret and Wong, John Q and Xu, Gelin and Yang, Yang C and Yano, Yuichiro and Yentur, Gokalp Kadri and Yip, Paul and Yonemoto, Naohiro and Yoon, Seok-Jun and Younis, Mustafa and Yu, Chuanhua and Jin, Kim Yun and El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa and Zhao, Yong and Zheng, Yingfeng and Zhou, Maigeng and Zhu, Jun and Zou, Xiao Nong and Lopez, Alan D and Vos, Theo} } @article {3531, title = {Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.}, journal = {Lancet}, volume = {384}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Sep 13}, pages = {980-1004}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75\% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery.

METHODS: We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a database of data for 7065 site-years and estimate the number of maternal deaths from all causes in 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. We estimated the number of pregnancy-related deaths caused by HIV on the basis of a systematic review of the relative risk of dying during pregnancy for HIV-positive women compared with HIV-negative women. We also estimated the fraction of these deaths aggravated by pregnancy on the basis of a systematic review. To estimate the numbers of maternal deaths due to nine different causes, we identified 61 sources from a systematic review and 943 site-years of vital registration data. We also did a systematic review of reports about the timing of maternal death, identifying 142 sources to use in our analysis. We developed estimates for each country for 1990-2013 using Bayesian meta-regression. We estimated 95\% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all values.

FINDINGS: 292,982 (95\% UI 261,017-327,792) maternal deaths occurred in 2013, compared with 376,034 (343,483-407,574) in 1990. The global annual rate of change in the MMR was -0{\textperiodcentered}3\% (-1{\textperiodcentered}1 to 0{\textperiodcentered}6) from 1990 to 2003, and -2{\textperiodcentered}7\% (-3{\textperiodcentered}9 to -1{\textperiodcentered}5) from 2003 to 2013, with evidence of continued acceleration. MMRs reduced consistently in south, east, and southeast Asia between 1990 and 2013, but maternal deaths increased in much of sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. 2070 (1290-2866) maternal deaths were related to HIV in 2013, 0{\textperiodcentered}4\% (0{\textperiodcentered}2-0{\textperiodcentered}6) of the global total. MMR was highest in the oldest age groups in both 1990 and 2013. In 2013, most deaths occurred intrapartum or postpartum. Causes varied by region and between 1990 and 2013. We recorded substantial variation in the MMR by country in 2013, from 956{\textperiodcentered}8 (685{\textperiodcentered}1-1262{\textperiodcentered}8) in South Sudan to 2{\textperiodcentered}4 (1{\textperiodcentered}6-3{\textperiodcentered}6) in Iceland.

INTERPRETATION: Global rates of change suggest that only 16 countries will achieve the MDG 5 target by 2015. Accelerated reductions since the Millennium Declaration in 2000 coincide with increased development assistance for maternal, newborn, and child health. Setting of targets and associated interventions for after 2015 will need careful consideration of regions that are making slow progress, such as west and central Africa.

FUNDING: Bill \& Melinda Gates Foundation.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Cause of Death, Female, Global Health, HIV Infections, Humans, Maternal Mortality, Models, Statistical, Organizational Objectives, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Complications, Infectious, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Time Factors}, issn = {1474-547X}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60696-6}, author = {Kassebaum, Nicholas J and Bertozzi-Villa, Amelia and Coggeshall, Megan S and Shackelford, Katya A and Steiner, Caitlyn and Heuton, Kyle R and Gonzalez-Medina, Diego and Barber, Ryan and Huynh, Chantal and Dicker, Daniel and Templin, Tara and Wolock, Timothy M and Ozgoren, Ayse Abbasoglu and Abd-Allah, Foad and Abera, Semaw Ferede and Abubakar, Ibrahim and Achoki, Tom and Adelekan, Ademola and Ademi, Zanfina and Adou, Ars{\`e}ne Kouablan and Adsuar, Jos{\'e} C and Agardh, Emilie E and Akena, Dickens and Alasfoor, Deena and Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw and Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael and Alhabib, Samia and Ali, Raghib and Al Kahbouri, Mazin J and Alla, Fran{\c c}ois and Allen, Peter J and AlMazroa, Mohammad A and Alsharif, Ubai and Alvarez, Elena and Alvis-Guzm{\'a}n, Nelson and Amankwaa, Adansi A and Amare, Azmeraw T and Amini, Hassan and Ammar, Walid and Antonio, Carl A T and Anwari, Palwasha and Arnl{\"o}v, Johan and Arsenijevic, Valentina S Arsic and Artaman, Ali and Asad, Majed Masoud and Asghar, Rana J and Assadi, Reza and Atkins, Lydia S and Badawi, Alaa and Balakrishnan, Kalpana and Basu, Arindam and Basu, Sanjay and Beardsley, Justin and Bedi, Neeraj and Bekele, Tolesa and Bell, Michelle L and Bernabe, Eduardo and Beyene, Tariku J and Bhutta, Zulfiqar and Bin Abdulhak, Aref and Blore, Jed D and Basara, Berrak Bora and Bose, Dipan and Breitborde, Nicholas and C{\'a}rdenas, Rosario and Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela, Carlos A and Castro, Ruben Estanislao and Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez, Ferr{\'a}n and Cavlin, Alanur and Chang, Jung-Chen and Che, Xuan and Christophi, Costas A and Chugh, Sumeet S and Cirillo, Massimo and Colquhoun, Samantha M and Cooper, Leslie Trumbull and Cooper, Cyrus and da Costa Leite, Iuri and Dandona, Lalit and Dandona, Rakhi and Davis, Adrian and Dayama, Anand and Degenhardt, Louisa and De Leo, Diego and del Pozo-Cruz, Borja and Deribe, Kebede and Dessalegn, Muluken and deVeber, Gabrielle A and Dharmaratne, Samath D and Dilmen, U{\u g}ur and Ding, Eric L and Dorrington, Rob E and Driscoll, Tim R and Ermakov, Sergei Petrovich and Esteghamati, Alireza and Faraon, Emerito Jose A and Farzadfar, Farshad and Felicio, Manuela Mendonca and Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad and de Lima, Gra{\c c}a Maria Ferreira and Forouzanfar, Mohammad H and Fran{\c c}a, Elisabeth B and Gaffikin, Lynne and Gambashidze, Ketevan and Gankp{\'e}, Fortun{\'e} Gb{\`e}toho and Garcia, Ana C and Geleijnse, Johanna M and Gibney, Katherine B and Giroud, Maurice and Glaser, Elizabeth L and Goginashvili, Ketevan and Gona, Philimon and Gonz{\'a}lez-Castell, Dinorah and Goto, Atsushi and Gouda, Hebe N and Gugnani, Harish Chander and Gupta, Rahul and Gupta, Rajeev and Hafezi-Nejad, Nima and Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi and Hammami, Mouhanad and Hankey, Graeme J and Harb, Hilda L and Havmoeller, Rasmus and Hay, Simon I and Pi, Ileana B Heredia and Hoek, Hans W and Hosgood, H Dean and Hoy, Damian G and Husseini, Abdullatif and Idrisov, Bulat T and Innos, Kaire and Inoue, Manami and Jacobsen, Kathryn H and Jahangir, Eiman and Jee, Sun Ha and Jensen, Paul N and Jha, Vivekanand and Jiang, Guohong and Jonas, Jost B and Juel, Knud and Kabagambe, Edmond Kato and Kan, Haidong and Karam, Nadim E and Karch, Andr{\'e} and Karema, Corine Kakizi and Kaul, Anil and Kawakami, Norito and Kazanjan, Konstantin and Kazi, Dhruv S and Kemp, Andrew H and Kengne, Andre Pascal and Kereselidze, Maia and Khader, Yousef Saleh and Khalifa, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan and Khan, Ejaz Ahmed and Khang, Young-Ho and Knibbs, Luke and Kokubo, Yoshihiro and Kosen, Soewarta and Defo, Barthelemy Kuate and Kulkarni, Chanda and Kulkarni, Veena S and Kumar, G Anil and Kumar, Kaushalendra and Kumar, Ravi B and Kwan, Gene and Lai, Taavi and Lalloo, Ratilal and Lam, Hilton and Lansingh, Van C and Larsson, Anders and Lee, Jong-Tae and Leigh, James and Leinsalu, Mall and Leung, Ricky and Li, Xiaohong and Li, Yichong and Li, Yongmei and Liang, Juan and Liang, Xiaofeng and Lim, Stephen S and Lin, Hsien-Ho and Lipshultz, Steven E and Liu, Shiwei and Liu, Yang and Lloyd, Belinda K and London, Stephanie J and Lotufo, Paulo A and Ma, Jixiang and Ma, Stefan and Machado, Vasco Manuel Pedro and Mainoo, Nana Kwaku and Majdan, Marek and Mapoma, Christopher Chabila and Marcenes, Wagner and Marzan, Melvin Barrientos and Mason-Jones, Amanda J and Mehndiratta, Man Mohan and Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola and Memish, Ziad A and Mendoza, Walter and Miller, Ted R and Mills, Edward J and Mokdad, Ali H and Mola, Glen Liddell and Monasta, Lorenzo and de la Cruz Monis, Jonathan and Hernandez, Julio Cesar Monta{\~n}ez and Moore, Ami R and Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar and Mori, Rintaro and Mueller, Ulrich O and Mukaigawara, Mitsuru and Naheed, Aliya and Naidoo, Kovin S and Nand, Devina and Nangia, Vinay and Nash, Denis and Nejjari, Chakib and Nelson, Robert G and Neupane, Sudan Prasad and Newton, Charles R and Ng, Marie and Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark J and Nisar, Muhammad Imran and Nolte, Sandra and Norheim, Ole F and Nyakarahuka, Luke and Oh, In-Hwan and Ohkubo, Takayoshi and Olusanya, Bolajoko O and Omer, Saad B and Opio, John Nelson and Orisakwe, Orish Ebere and Pandian, Jeyaraj D and Papachristou, Christina and Park, Jae-Hyun and Caicedo, Angel J Paternina and Patten, Scott B and Paul, Vinod K and Pavlin, Boris Igor and Pearce, Neil and Pereira, David M and Pesudovs, Konrad and Petzold, Max and Poenaru, Dan and Polanczyk, Guilherme V and Polinder, Suzanne and Pope, Dan and Pourmalek, Farshad and Qato, Dima and Quistberg, D Alex and Rafay, Anwar and Rahimi, Kazem and Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa and ur Rahman, Sajjad and Raju, Murugesan and Rana, Saleem M and Refaat, Amany and Ronfani, Luca and Roy, Nobhojit and Pimienta, Tania Georgina S{\'a}nchez and Sahraian, Mohammad Ali and Salomon, Joshua A and Sampson, Uchechukwu and Santos, Itamar S and Sawhney, Monika and Sayinzoga, Felix and Schneider, Ione J C and Schumacher, Austin and Schwebel, David C and Seedat, Soraya and Sepanlou, Sadaf G and Servan-Mori, Edson E and Shakh-Nazarova, Marina and Sheikhbahaei, Sara and Shibuya, Kenji and Shin, Hwashin Hyun and Shiue, Ivy and Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora and Silberberg, Donald H and Silva, Andrea P and Singh, Jasvinder A and Skirbekk, Vegard and Sliwa, Karen and Soshnikov, Sergey S and Sposato, Luciano A and Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T and Stroumpoulis, Konstantinos and Sturua, Lela and Sykes, Bryan L and Tabb, Karen M and Talongwa, Roberto Tchio and Tan, Feng and Teixeira, Carolina Maria and Tenkorang, Eric Yeboah and Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman and Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L and Tirschwell, David L and Towbin, Jeffrey A and Tran, Bach X and Tsilimbaris, Miltiadis and Uchendu, Uche S and Ukwaja, Kingsley N and Undurraga, Eduardo A and Uzun, Selen Beg{\"u}m and Vallely, Andrew J and van Gool, Coen H and Vasankari, Tommi J and Vavilala, Monica S and Venketasubramanian, N and Villalpando, Salvador and Violante, Francesco S and Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich and Vos, Theo and Waller, Stephen and Wang, Haidong and Wang, Linhong and Wang, XiaoRong and Wang, Yanping and Weichenthal, Scott and Weiderpass, Elisabete and Weintraub, Robert G and Westerman, Ronny and Wilkinson, James D and Woldeyohannes, Solomon Meseret and Wong, John Q and Wordofa, Muluemebet Abera and Xu, Gelin and Yang, Yang C and Yano, Yuichiro and Yentur, Gokalp Kadri and Yip, Paul and Yonemoto, Naohiro and Yoon, Seok-Jun and Younis, Mustafa Z and Yu, Chuanhua and Jin, Kim Yun and El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa and Zhao, Yong and Zheng, Yingfeng and Zhou, Maigeng and Zhu, Jun and Zou, Xiao Nong and Lopez, Alan D and Naghavi, Mohsen and Murray, Christopher J L and Lozano, Rafael} }