@article {10524, title = {Child and Adolescent Health From 1990 to 2015: Findings From the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2015 Study.}, journal = {JAMA Pediatr}, volume = {171}, year = {2017}, month = {2017 Jun 01}, pages = {573-592}, abstract = {

Importance: Comprehensive and timely monitoring of disease burden in all age groups, including children and adolescents, is essential for improving population health.

Objective: To quantify and describe levels and trends of mortality and nonfatal health outcomes among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2015 to provide a framework for policy discussion.

Evidence Review: Cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes were analyzed for 195 countries and territories by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2015 using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling, with subsequent analysis of the findings to describe levels and trends across geography and time among children and adolescents 19 years or younger. A composite indicator of income, education, and fertility was developed (Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) for each geographic unit and year, which evaluates the historical association between SDI and health loss.

Findings: Global child and adolescent mortality decreased from 14.18 million (95\% uncertainty interval [UI], 14.09 million to 14.28 million) deaths in 1990 to 7.26 million (95\% UI, 7.14 million to 7.39 million) deaths in 2015, but progress has been unevenly distributed. Countries with a lower SDI had a larger proportion of mortality burden (75\%) in 2015 than was the case in 1990 (61\%). Most deaths in 2015 occurred in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden. The absolute burden of disability in children and adolescents increased 4.3\% (95\% UI, 3.1\%-5.6\%) from 1990 to 2015, with much of the increase owing to population growth and improved survival for children and adolescents to older ages. Other than infectious conditions, many top causes of disability are associated with long-term sequelae of conditions present at birth (eg, neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, and hemoglobinopathies) and complications of a variety of infections and nutritional deficiencies. Anemia, developmental intellectual disability, hearing loss, epilepsy, and vision loss are important contributors to childhood disability that can arise from multiple causes. Maternal and reproductive health remains a key cause of disease burden in adolescent females, especially in lower-SDI countries. In low-SDI countries, mortality is the primary driver of health loss for children and adolescents, whereas disability predominates in higher-SDI locations; the specific pattern of epidemiological transition varies across diseases and injuries.

Conclusions and Relevance: Consistent international attention and investment have led to sustained improvements in causes of health loss among children and adolescents in many countries, although progress has been uneven. The persistence of infectious diseases in some countries, coupled with ongoing epidemiologic transition to injuries and noncommunicable diseases, require all countries to carefully evaluate and implement appropriate strategies to maximize the health of their children and adolescents and for the international community to carefully consider which elements of child and adolescent health should be monitored.

}, keywords = {Adolescent, Adolescent Health, Age Factors, Cause of Death, Child, Child Health, Child Mortality, Disabled Children, Female, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Humans, Male, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Complications, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Wounds and Injuries}, issn = {2168-6211}, doi = {10.1001/jamapediatrics.2017.0250}, author = {Kassebaum, Nicholas and Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe and Zoeckler, Leo and Olsen, Helen Elizabeth and Thomas, Katie and Pinho, Christine and Bhutta, Zulfiqar A and Dandona, Lalit and Ferrari, Alize and Ghiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde and Hay, Simon I and Kinfu, Yohannes and Liang, Xiaofeng and Lopez, Alan and Malta, Deborah Carvalho and Mokdad, Ali H and Naghavi, Mohsen and Patton, George C and Salomon, Joshua and Sartorius, Benn and Topor-Madry, Roman and Vollset, Stein Emil and Werdecker, Andrea and Whiteford, Harvey A and Abate, Kalkidan Hasen and Abbas, Kaja and Damtew, Solomon Abrha and Ahmed, Muktar Beshir and Akseer, Nadia and Al-Raddadi, Rajaa and Alemayohu, Mulubirhan Assefa and Altirkawi, Khalid and Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu and Amare, Azmeraw T and Antonio, Carl A T and Arnl{\"o}v, Johan and Artaman, Al and Asayesh, Hamid and Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur and Awasthi, Ashish and Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina and Bacha, Umar and Betsu, Balem Demtsu and Barac, Aleksandra and B{\"a}rnighausen, Till Winfried and Baye, Estifanos and Bedi, Neeraj and Bensenor, Isabela M and Berhane, Adugnaw and Bernabe, Eduardo and Bernal, Oscar Alberto and Beyene, Addisu Shunu and Biadgilign, Sibhatu and Bikbov, Boris and Boyce, Cheryl Anne and Brazinova, Alexandra and Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa and Carter, Austin and Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela, Carlos A and Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez, Ferr{\'a}n and Charlson, Fiona J and Chitheer, Abdulaal A and Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine and Ciobanu, Liliana G and Crump, John and Dandona, Rakhi and Dellavalle, Robert P and Deribew, Amare and deVeber, Gabrielle and Dicker, Daniel and Ding, Eric L and Dubey, Manisha and Endries, Amanuel Yesuf and Erskine, Holly E and Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino and Faro, Andre and Farzadfar, Farshad and Fernandes, Joao C and Fijabi, Daniel Obadare and Fitzmaurice, Christina and Fleming, Thomas D and Flor, Luisa Sorio and Foreman, Kyle J and Franklin, Richard C and Fraser, Maya S and Frostad, Joseph J and Fullman, Nancy and Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe and Gebru, Alemseged Aregay and Geleijnse, Johanna M and Gibney, Katherine B and Gidey Yihdego, Mahari and Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed and Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo and Gizachew, Tessema Assefa and Glaser, Elizabeth and Gold, Audra L and Goldberg, Ellen and Gona, Philimon and Goto, Atsushi and Gugnani, Harish Chander and Jiang, Guohong and Gupta, Rajeev and Tesfay, Fisaha Haile and Hankey, Graeme J and Havmoeller, Rasmus and Hijar, Martha and Horino, Masako and Hosgood, H Dean and Hu, Guoqing and Jacobsen, Kathryn H and Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B and Jayaraman, Sudha P and Jha, Vivekanand and Jibat, Tariku and Johnson, Catherine O and Jonas, Jost and Kasaeian, Amir and Kawakami, Norito and Keiyoro, Peter N and Khalil, Ibrahim and Khang, Young-Ho and Khubchandani, Jagdish and Ahmad Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A and Kieling, Christian and Kim, Daniel and Kissoon, Niranjan and Knibbs, Luke D and Koyanagi, Ai and Krohn, Kristopher J and Kuate Defo, Barthelemy and Kucuk Bicer, Burcu and Kulikoff, Rachel and Kumar, G Anil and Lal, Dharmesh Kumar and Lam, Hilton Y and Larson, Heidi J and Larsson, Anders and Laryea, Dennis Odai and Leung, Janni and Lim, Stephen S and Lo, Loon-Tzian and Lo, Warren D and Looker, Katharine J and Lotufo, Paulo A and Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan and Malekzadeh, Reza and Markos Shifti, Desalegn and Mazidi, Mohsen and Meaney, Peter A and Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam and Memiah, Peter and Mendoza, Walter and Abera Mengistie, Mubarek and Mengistu, Gebremichael Welday and Mensah, George A and Miller, Ted R and Mock, Charles and Mohammadi, Alireza and Mohammed, Shafiu and Monasta, Lorenzo and Mueller, Ulrich and Nagata, Chie and Naheed, Aliya and Nguyen, Grant and Nguyen, Quyen Le and Nsoesie, Elaine and Oh, In-Hwan and Okoro, Anselm and Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun and Olusanya, Bolajoko O and Ortiz, Alberto and Paudel, Deepak and Pereira, David M and Perico, Norberto and Petzold, Max and Phillips, Michael Robert and Polanczyk, Guilherme V and Pourmalek, Farshad and Qorbani, Mostafa and Rafay, Anwar and Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa and Rahman, Mahfuzar and Rai, Rajesh Kumar and Ram, Usha and Rankin, Zane and Remuzzi, Giuseppe and Renzaho, Andre M N and Roba, Hirbo Shore and Rojas-Rueda, David and Ronfani, Luca and Sagar, Rajesh and Sanabria, Juan Ramon and Kedir Mohammed, Muktar Sano and Santos, Itamar S and Satpathy, Maheswar and Sawhney, Monika and Sch{\"o}ttker, Ben and Schwebel, David C and Scott, James G and Sepanlou, Sadaf G and Shaheen, Amira and Shaikh, Masood Ali and She, June and Shiri, Rahman and Shiue, Ivy and Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora and Singh, Jasvinder and Silpakit, Naris and Smith, Alison and Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar and Stanaway, Jeffrey D and Stein, Dan J and Steiner, Caitlyn and Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Babale and Swaminathan, Soumya and Tabar{\'e}s-Seisdedos, Rafael and Tabb, Karen M and Tadese, Fentaw and Tavakkoli, Mohammad and Taye, Bineyam and Teeple, Stephanie and Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw and Temam Shifa, Girma and Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman and Thomas, Bernadette and Thomson, Alan J and Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan and Tonelli, Marcello and Tran, Bach Xuan and Troeger, Christopher and Ukwaja, Kingsley N and Uthman, Olalekan and Vasankari, Tommi and Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy and Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich and Weiderpass, Elisabete and Weintraub, Robert and Gebrehiwot, Solomon Weldemariam and Westerman, Ronny and Williams, Hywel C and Wolfe, Charles D A and Woodbrook, Rachel and Yano, Yuichiro and Yonemoto, Naohiro and Yoon, Seok-Jun and Younis, Mustafa Z and Yu, Chuanhua and Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed and Zegeye, Elias Asfaw and Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna and Murray, Christopher J L and Vos, Theo} } @article {7723, title = {The Global Burden of Cancer 2013.}, journal = {JAMA Oncol}, volume = {1}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jul}, pages = {505-27}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: Cancer is among the leading causes of death worldwide. Current estimates of cancer burden in individual countries and regions are necessary to inform local cancer control strategies.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate mortality, incidence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 28 cancers in 188 countries by sex from 1990 to 2013.

EVIDENCE REVIEW: The general methodology of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study was used. Cancer registries were the source for cancer incidence data as well as mortality incidence (MI) ratios. Sources for cause of death data include vital registration system data, verbal autopsy studies, and other sources. The MI ratios were used to transform incidence data to mortality estimates and cause of death estimates to incidence estimates. Cancer prevalence was estimated using MI ratios as surrogates for survival data; YLDs were calculated by multiplying prevalence estimates with disability weights, which were derived from population-based surveys; YLLs were computed by multiplying the number of estimated cancer deaths at each age with a reference life expectancy; and DALYs were calculated as the sum of YLDs and YLLs.

FINDINGS: In 2013 there were 14.9 million incident cancer cases, 8.2 million deaths, and 196.3 million DALYs. Prostate cancer was the leading cause for cancer incidence (1.4 million) for men and breast cancer for women (1.8 million). Tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer was the leading cause for cancer death in men and women, with 1.6 million deaths. For men, TBL cancer was the leading cause of DALYs (24.9 million). For women, breast cancer was the leading cause of DALYs (13.1 million). Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) per 100 000 and age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) per 100 000 for both sexes in 2013 were higher in developing vs developed countries for stomach cancer (ASIR, 17 vs 14; ASDR, 15 vs 11), liver cancer (ASIR, 15 vs 7; ASDR, 16 vs 7), esophageal cancer (ASIR, 9 vs 4; ASDR, 9 vs 4), cervical cancer (ASIR, 8 vs 5; ASDR, 4 vs 2), lip and oral cavity cancer (ASIR, 7 vs 6; ASDR, 2 vs 2), and nasopharyngeal cancer (ASIR, 1.5 vs 0.4; ASDR, 1.2 vs 0.3). Between 1990 and 2013, ASIRs for all cancers combined (except nonmelanoma skin cancer and Kaposi sarcoma) increased by more than 10\% in 113 countries and decreased by more than 10\% in 12 of 188 countries.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Cancer poses a major threat to public health worldwide, and incidence rates have increased in most countries since 1990. The trend is a particular threat to developing nations with health systems that are ill-equipped to deal with complex and expensive cancer treatments. The annual update on the Global Burden of Cancer will provide all stakeholders with timely estimates to guide policy efforts in cancer prevention, screening, treatment, and palliation.

}, issn = {2374-2445}, doi = {10.1001/jamaoncol.2015.0735}, author = {Fitzmaurice, Christina and Dicker, Daniel and Pain, Amanda and Hamavid, Hannah and Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar and MacIntyre, Michael F and Allen, Christine and Hansen, Gillian and Woodbrook, Rachel and Wolfe, Charles and Hamadeh, Randah R and Moore, Ami and Werdecker, Andrea and Gessner, Bradford D and Te Ao, Braden and McMahon, Brian and Karimkhani, Chante and Yu, Chuanhua and Cooke, Graham S and Schwebel, David C and Carpenter, David O and Pereira, David M and Nash, Denis and Kazi, Dhruv S and De Leo, Diego and Plass, Dietrich and Ukwaja, Kingsley N and Thurston, George D and Yun Jin, Kim and Simard, Edgar P and Mills, Edward and Park, Eun-Kee and Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez, Ferr{\'a}n and deVeber, Gabrielle and Gotay, Carolyn and Khan, Gulfaraz and Hosgood, H Dean and Santos, Itamar S and Leasher, Janet L and Singh, Jasvinder and Leigh, James and Jonas, Jost and Sanabria, Juan and Beardsley, Justin and Jacobsen, Kathryn H and Takahashi, Ken and Franklin, Richard C and Ronfani, Luca and Montico, Marcella and Naldi, Luigi and Tonelli, Marcello and Geleijnse, Johanna and Petzold, Max and Shrime, Mark G and Younis, Mustafa and Yonemoto, Naohiro and Breitborde, Nicholas and Yip, Paul and Pourmalek, Farshad and Lotufo, Paulo A and Esteghamati, Alireza and Hankey, Graeme J and Ali, Raghib and Lunevicius, Raimundas and Malekzadeh, Reza and Dellavalle, Robert and Weintraub, Robert and Lucas, Robyn and Hay, Roderick and Rojas-Rueda, David and Westerman, Ronny and Sepanlou, Sadaf G and Nolte, Sandra and Patten, Scott and Weichenthal, Scott and Abera, Semaw Ferede and Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad and Shiue, Ivy and Driscoll, Tim and Vasankari, Tommi and Alsharif, Ubai and Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa and Vlassov, Vasiliy V and Marcenes, W S and Mekonnen, Wubegzier and Melaku, Yohannes Adama and Yano, Yuichiro and Artaman, Al and Campos, Ismael and MacLachlan, Jennifer and Mueller, Ulrich and Kim, Daniel and Trillini, Matias and Eshrati, Babak and Williams, Hywel C and Shibuya, Kenji and Dandona, Rakhi and Murthy, Kinnari and Cowie, Benjamin and Amare, Azmeraw T and Antonio, Carl Abelardo and Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela, Carlos and van Gool, Coen H and Violante, Francesco and Oh, In-Hwan and Deribe, Kedede and Soreide, Kjetil and Knibbs, Luke and Kereselidze, Maia and Green, Mark and C{\'a}rdenas, Rosario and Roy, Nobhojit and Tillman, Taavi and Li, Yongmei and Krueger, Hans and Monasta, Lorenzo and Dey, Subhojit and Sheikhbahaei, Sara and Hafezi-Nejad, Nima and Kumar, G Anil and Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T and Dandona, Lalit and Wang, Haidong and Vollset, Stein Emil and Mokdad, Ali and Salomon, Joshua A and Lozano, Rafael and Vos, Theo and Forouzanfar, Mohammad and Lopez, Alan and Murray, Christopher and Naghavi, Mohsen} }